ICC Champions Trophy 2025 Qualification Scenarios: The group round of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is in its second half. From Group A, four matches have been done and dusted, and India and New Zealand have sealed their places in the semi-finals.
In Group B, three matches have been completed, of which the Australia vs South Africa game was abandoned due to rain. In the other two games, South Africa defeated Afghanistan by 107 runs, and Australia beat England by five wickets in a high-scoring thriller.
Matches left in Group B: Afghanistan vs England, Afghanistan vs Australia, and South Africa vs England.
South Africa and Australia have three points each, and England and Afghanistan have two points each. Afghanistan have a poor NRR of -2.140.
ICC Champions Trophy 2025 Qualification Scenarios
South Africa:
A win against England will seal South Africa’s semi-final spot. But a loss against England could knock them out if England and Australia both beat Afghanistan.
They can still qualify for the semi-finals with three points; that is, despite losing to England. For that, Afghanistan will have to win at least one match.
Here is an elaboration of this scenario: If Afghanistan defeat England and lose to Australia, then Australia and South Africa will qualify. If Afghanistan beat Australia and lose to England and England beat South Africa, then South Africa and Australia will be fighting for second place, which will come down to NRR. And if Afghanistan win both their games, then Afghanistan will top the group, and the second place will again come down to the NRR between South Africa and Australia.
Australia:
A win over Afghanistan will take them through the semis. If they lose against Afghanistan, then Australia will have to hope for England to beat Afghanistan and lose to South Africa.
England and Afghanistan:
Both England and Afghanistan (both with zero points) need to win both their remaining games to qualify as Australia and South Africa have three points each. Basically, the England vs Afghanistan encounter on Wednesday is a must-win game for both teams.
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