The Super 8 round of the ongoing ICC T20 World Cup 2024 has turned into a really exciting stage of the tournament. Heading into the last round of matches, all 8 teams have a mathematical chance of reaching the semi-final and with only four games remaining in the Super 8, no team has booked a place in the semis.
Two teams—the USA in Group 2 and Bangladesh in Group 1—have lost their first two matches, and both are all but out of the semi-final race. Rest, it is a three-way race in both groups with four semi-final spots up for grabs.
Semi-Final Qualification Scenarios of Group 1
First the points table of Group 1. India lead the standings with two wins in two games. The size of their victories—47 runs against Afghanistan and 50 runs against Bangladesh—mean that they have an NRR of +2.425, which is much better compared to Australia’s NRR of +0.223 and Afghanistan’s -0.650.
Australia and Afghanistan both have won one game and lost one match. It was Afghanistan’s victory over Australia that threw Group 1 wide open; otherwise, both Australia and India would have sealed their positions in the semis.
The matches remaining are India vs Australia and Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, both to take place on June 24.
Coming to the scenarios, for Australia, they will need to defeat India. If Australia lose to India, then Afghanistan only need to defeat Bangladesh to progress to the semi-finals. If Australia defeat India, then Afghanistan will need to beat Bangladesh by a margin that pips their NRR over Australia’s NRR.
Check Out: AUS vs IND Dream11 Prediction T20 World Cup
Assuming first-innings score of 160 runs, if Australia beat India by one run, then Afghanistan will need to beat Bangladesh by 36 runs. So, despite thumping Australia, Afghanistan still need to record a massive win to reach the semis. The best-case scenario for Afghanistan is to hope that India beat Australia.
For India, the equation is simple: beat Australia and reach the semis, or avoid losing to Australia by 41 runs or more. If India lose to Australia by less than 40 runs, even then they would qualify for the semi-final as their NRR will still be better than Australia’s.
Bangladesh are only mathematically alive, but practically it’s implausible for them to reach the semis. For that, Bangladesh will need to beat Afghanistan by 31 runs and pray that India defeat Australia by 55 runs – it’s highly improbable that both of these results will occur and they will sneak into the semis with only two points.
Get the latest T20 World Cup 2024 Updates, Dates, Fixtures, Venues & T20 World Cup Team updates along with Latest Player News at IceCric.News and Follow for Live Updates – Facebook & Instagram.
